According to data released by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Vietnam exported 200,000 tons of coffee, worth 1.16 billion USD, in March 2025. This is a record figure for the coffee industry in Vietnam.

In the first three months of this year, the volume of coffee exports reached 509,500 tons, with an estimated value of about 2.88 billion USD. The result was a decrease of 12.9% in volume but a significant increase of 49.5% in value compared to the same period in 2024.

This is due to the average export price of coffee in the first three months of the year being around 5,656 USD per ton, an increase of 71.7% compared to the same period last year. Germany, Italy, and Japan are the three largest coffee consumption markets for Vietnam, accounting for market shares of 16.2%, 9.9%, and 7.4%, respectively.

Compared to the same period in 2024, the value of coffee exports in the first two months of this year to the German market increased by 79.3%, to Italy by 32%, and to Japan by 56%.

Among the 15 major markets, coffee exports increased the most in Poland, with a rise of 3.1 times. Meanwhile, Indonesia was the only market with a decrease in export value (down 37.5%).

The rising coffee prices helped the export of this item reach 1.16 billion USD in March.

In 2024, Vietnam’s coffee industry recorded positive development. According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, in 2024, Vietnam’s coffee exports were estimated to reach 1.32 million tons, with a turnover of 5.48 billion USD. This was a decrease of 18.8% in volume but an increase of 29.11% in value compared to the same period in 2023. The average export price of coffee in 2024 was about 4,151 USD/ton, an increase of 56.9% compared to the same period in 2023.

In the 2024-2025 crop, the Vietnam Coffee-Cocoa Association predicts that coffee production will decrease by 5% compared to the last crop, down to about 27 million bags (60 kg per bag). The reason is due to the impact of climate change and the reduction in growing area.

Farmers are recommended to closely monitor the weather conditions and prepare irrigation plans to minimize risks during the prolonged dry season. However, coffee prices in the coming time will face adjustment pressure as the recent harvest is gradually brought to the market and Brazil is about to enter the harvest season.

In addition, the global demand for coffee is showing signs of decline due to too high selling prices. Experts said that maintaining high coffee prices could reduce demand and put pressure on prices in the near future.

Businesses believe that Vietnam’s coffee exports could reach over 6 billion USD, even hitting 7 billion USD by 2025 if an effective response strategy is implemented.